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Portsmouth vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 41% chance to win.
Championship
Sun, Feb 28, 2027 · 12:00 PM GMT
Championship
Portsmouth
6-4-5Rating 1651
Form: LWDWD
vs
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
41%
Championship
Southampton
8-4-3Rating 1750
Form: LDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 23.6%41.3%49.1%<1%
If Win 29.0%48.3%46.1%<1%
If Draw 23.5%40.2%50.6%<1%
If Lose 16.9%33.0%54.9%<1%

Portsmouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.0%22.8%2.1%
If Win 1.0%2.5%29.7%<1%
If Draw <1%1.5%23.3%2.2%
If Lose <1%<1%18.5%3.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PortsmouthStatSouthampton
15Games played15
1.3Avg goals scored1.9
1.2Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 27% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 27% / 20%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PortsmouthStatSouthampton
0All-time wins (5 meetings, 4 draws)1
0Last 5 meetings (4 draws)1
0.8Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-10-11): Southampton 1–0 Portsmouth