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Championship
Wed, Mar 3, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT

Stoke vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 45% chance to win.

4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
VS
4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
28%
45%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.1%27.4%53.7%<1%
If Win 13.7%33.8%54.4%<1%
If Draw 9.2%25.6%54.0%<1%
If Lose 8.4%23.7%53.1%<1%

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.0%18.3%12.0%
If Win <1%1.7%24.6%7.2%
If Draw <1%<1%18.2%11.9%
If Lose <1%<1%16.3%14.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StokeStatSouthampton
8Games played8
1.6Avg goals scored2.4
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
50% / 12% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StokeStatSouthampton
6All-time wins (17 meetings, 6 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Southampton 3–1 Stoke