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Swansea vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 47% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Swansea
8-2-5Rating 1663
Form: LLWLL
vs
Model Probability
47%
Draw 27%
26%
Championship
Stoke
9-2-4Rating 1641
Form: WWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.0%5.3%43.8%<1%
If Win 2.9%7.5%50.7%<1%
If Draw 1.8%5.0%42.7%<1%
If Lose 1.3%3.7%38.0%<1%

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.3%5.8%43.2%<1%
If Win 3.3%7.2%48.9%<1%
If Draw 1.5%5.1%42.0%<1%
If Lose 1.1%3.7%37.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatStoke
15Games played15
1.5Avg goals scored1.6
1.2Avg goals conceded1.2
53% / 13% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 13% / 27%
57% Home win % / Away win % 62%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatStoke
10All-time wins (31 meetings, 6 draws)15
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-08-15): Stoke 1–2 Swansea