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Championship
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Swansea vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 53% chance to win.

5-2-1 · Rating 1673
Form: WWLDW
VS
4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
53%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.1%18.5%11.1%
If Win <1%1.6%24.0%7.6%
If Draw <1%1.2%20.4%10.8%
If Lose <1%<1%15.9%13.3%

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.7%12.3%51.1%1.0%
If Win 4.9%14.2%53.0%<1%
If Draw 3.6%10.3%49.4%<1%
If Lose 2.4%8.2%44.8%1.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatStoke
8Games played8
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
0.8Avg goals conceded1.5
62% / 25% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatStoke
10All-time wins (31 meetings, 6 draws)15
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-08-15): Stoke 1–2 Swansea