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Championship
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Cardiff vs Swansea Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 37% chance to win.

1-4-3 · Rating 1604
Form: WLDLL
VS
5-2-1 · Rating 1673
Form: WWLDW
Model Probability
35%
37%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.4%12.5%50.0%<1%
If Win 5.6%15.2%54.7%<1%
If Draw 3.4%11.2%51.2%<1%
If Lose 2.9%8.5%48.5%1.2%

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.1%35.3%
If Win <1%<1%6.9%27.9%
If Draw <1%<1%4.9%34.9%
If Lose <1%<1%4.0%40.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CardiffStatSwansea
8Games played8
1.2Avg goals scored1.6
1.5Avg goals conceded0.8
12% / 50% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 25% / 12%
25% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CardiffStatSwansea
6All-time wins (17 meetings, 2 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
0.8Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2025-01-18): Cardiff 3–0 Swansea