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Cardiff vs Swansea Prediction & Win Probability

Cardiff has a 39% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Cardiff
4-6-5Rating 1623
Form: WDLWD
vs
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
33%
Championship
Swansea
8-2-5Rating 1663
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.7%5.8%45.5%<1%
If Win 3.5%8.2%49.2%<1%
If Draw 2.2%5.9%42.7%<1%
If Lose 1.3%3.9%40.6%<1%

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.6%10.5%
If Win <1%<1%9.6%7.0%
If Draw <1%<1%6.6%11.4%
If Lose <1%<1%5.2%13.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CardiffStatSwansea
15Games played15
1.8Avg goals scored1.5
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
27% / 40% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 13% / 33%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CardiffStatSwansea
6All-time wins (17 meetings, 2 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
0.8Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2025-01-18): Cardiff 3–0 Swansea