← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Derby vs Charlton

Derby vs Charlton Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 43% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
43%
Draw 27%
29%
Championship
Charlton
4-5-6Rating 1598
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Charlton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.0%24.2%
If Win <1%<1%3.7%16.9%
If Draw <1%<1%2.5%23.4%
If Lose <1%<1%2.2%30.0%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%53.7%
If Win <1%<1%<1%46.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%59.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%63.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatCharlton
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored0.9
2.0Avg goals conceded1.5
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss27% / 33% / 40%
12% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatCharlton
9All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-08-15): Charlton 2–1 Derby