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Championship
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Watford vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Watford has a 42% chance to win.

2-2-4 · Rating 1605
Form: LLWLL
VS
1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
Model Probability
42%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.5%31.1%
If Win <1%<1%10.0%23.7%
If Draw <1%<1%6.8%31.2%
If Lose <1%<1%5.1%36.7%

Watford

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.9%25.6%
If Win <1%<1%10.2%22.1%
If Draw <1%<1%7.2%29.2%
If Lose <1%<1%5.6%31.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WatfordStatDerby
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored0.9
1.2Avg goals conceded1.8
25% / 25% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 25% / 62%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WatfordStatDerby
9All-time wins (17 meetings, 1 draws)7
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.6Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Watford 2–0 Derby