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Watford vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Watford has a 44% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Watford
4-3-8Rating 1589
Form: DWLLW
vs
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
29%
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%55.2%
If Win <1%<1%<1%46.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%55.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%62.6%

Watford

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%1.9%32.4%
If Win <1%<1%2.2%24.3%
If Draw <1%<1%1.5%33.5%
If Lose <1%<1%1.0%41.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WatfordStatDerby
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored0.9
1.5Avg goals conceded2.0
27% / 20% / 53%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 27% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WatfordStatDerby
9All-time wins (17 meetings, 1 draws)7
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.6Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Watford 2–0 Derby