Championship
Tue, Mar 16, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Derby vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability
Middlesbrough has a 37% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Middlesbrough
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.6% | 11.5% | 49.3% | 1.6% |
| If Win | 5.3% | 13.4% | 55.0% | <1% |
| If Draw | 3.1% | 10.0% | 50.7% | 1.2% |
| If Lose | 2.3% | 8.2% | 47.7% | 1.8% |
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 7.3% | 30.0% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 8.0% | 24.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 6.1% | 32.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 4.8% | 36.8% |
| Derby | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 12% / 25% / 62% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 38% / 12% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Derby | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | All-time wins (27 meetings, 7 draws) | 12 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 1.1 | Average goals | 1.3 |