← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Middlesbrough vs Southampton

Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 38% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Middlesbrough
8-5-2Rating 1702
Form: DLWWD
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
Championship
Southampton
8-4-3Rating 1750
Form: LDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 23.3%41.5%49.0%<1%
If Win 30.5%50.9%42.8%<1%
If Draw 21.2%38.1%52.1%<1%
If Lose 17.7%35.0%53.5%<1%

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.6%21.2%58.6%<1%
If Win 14.5%28.1%56.9%<1%
If Draw 9.3%20.6%58.6%<1%
If Lose 6.8%15.5%58.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatSouthampton
15Games played15
2.0Avg goals scored1.9
1.3Avg goals conceded1.0
53% / 33% / 13%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 27% / 20%
71% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatSouthampton
3All-time wins (10 meetings, 4 draws)3
1Last 5 meetings (4 draws)0
1.2Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-12): Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough