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Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability

Portsmouth has a 37% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Apr 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Championship
Portsmouth
6-4-5Rating 1651
Form: LWDWD
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
Championship
Middlesbrough
8-5-2Rating 1702
Form: DLWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.3%21.2%56.8%<1%
If Win 12.7%25.6%59.1%<1%
If Draw 9.6%20.9%59.2%<1%
If Lose 8.6%18.6%56.6%<1%

Portsmouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.8%23.9%2.4%
If Win <1%2.0%28.8%1.3%
If Draw <1%1.0%20.9%2.8%
If Lose <1%1.0%18.3%3.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PortsmouthStatMiddlesbrough
15Games played15
1.3Avg goals scored2.0
1.2Avg goals conceded1.3
40% / 27% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 33% / 13%
50% Home win % / Away win % 38%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PortsmouthStatMiddlesbrough
3All-time wins (8 meetings, 4 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Middlesbrough 0–1 Portsmouth