Home / England / Championship / Matches / Middlesbrough vs Burnley
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Tue, Apr 20, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST

Middlesbrough vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 46% chance to win.

4-3-1 · Rating 1684
Form: DDWWD
VS
0-4-4 · Rating 1670
Form: DLDLD
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.3%18.2%13.4%
If Win <1%1.1%22.8%11.4%
If Draw <1%<1%17.0%14.3%
If Lose <1%<1%15.6%16.2%

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.3%11.5%49.8%1.3%
If Win 4.0%13.0%54.3%<1%
If Draw 3.6%10.8%48.6%1.2%
If Lose 2.6%8.5%45.9%1.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatBurnley
8Games played8
2.0Avg goals scored1.1
1.5Avg goals conceded2.1
50% / 38% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 50% / 50%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatBurnley
6All-time wins (17 meetings, 6 draws)5
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-09-02): Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough