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Championship
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 12:30 PM BST

Swansea vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 43% chance to win.

5-2-1 · Rating 1673
Form: WWLDW
VS
4-3-1 · Rating 1684
Form: DDWWD
Model Probability
43%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.1%11.1%48.8%1.2%
If Win 4.7%12.9%55.0%<1%
If Draw 3.3%10.5%51.1%<1%
If Lose 2.2%8.4%48.7%1.5%

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.4%11.7%52.4%1.0%
If Win 5.2%14.1%53.6%<1%
If Draw 3.7%10.0%50.5%1.2%
If Lose 2.7%8.7%47.2%1.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatMiddlesbrough
8Games played8
1.6Avg goals scored2.0
0.8Avg goals conceded1.5
62% / 25% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 38% / 12%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatMiddlesbrough
7All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)9
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough