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Swansea vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 39% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 12:30 PM BST
Championship
Swansea
8-2-5Rating 1663
Form: LLWLL
vs
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
33%
Championship
Middlesbrough
8-5-2Rating 1702
Form: DLWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.1%22.5%56.2%<1%
If Win 12.5%27.1%58.5%<1%
If Draw 9.6%20.1%58.7%<1%
If Lose 7.8%17.3%58.0%<1%

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.4%6.3%44.2%<1%
If Win 2.8%7.2%48.7%<1%
If Draw 1.9%5.4%42.5%<1%
If Lose 1.4%4.2%40.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatMiddlesbrough
15Games played15
1.5Avg goals scored2.0
1.2Avg goals conceded1.3
53% / 13% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 33% / 13%
57% Home win % / Away win % 38%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatMiddlesbrough
7All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)9
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough