AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford Utd Prediction & Win Probability
Oxford Utd has a 46% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
vs
Model Probability
27%
Draw 27%
46%
Model Prediction Through Season
Oxford Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 17.6% | 34.0% | 39.0% | <1% |
| If Win | 23.6% | 41.3% | 39.2% | <1% |
| If Draw | 15.8% | 30.4% | 40.9% | <1% |
| If Lose | 11.0% | 23.7% | 41.0% | <1% |
AFC Wimbledon
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | 43.0% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 1.8% | 34.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | <1% | 45.7% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | 52.6% |
| AFC Wimbledon | Stat | Oxford Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Games played | 13 |
| 0.7 | Avg goals scored | 1.7 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 23% / 31% / 46% | Win / Draw / Loss | 54% / 38% / 8% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| AFC Wimbledon | Stat | Oxford Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | All-time wins (22 meetings, 3 draws) | 13 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 0.9 | Average goals | 1.7 |