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League One
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Oxford Utd has a 38% chance to win.

3-2-2 · Rating 1398
Form: DWWLW
VS
3-2-1 · Rating 1476
Form: DWWLW
Model Probability
34%
38%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Oxford Utd

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 14.9%28.6%34.4%1.1%
If Win 19.5%34.6%36.7%<1%
If Draw 13.0%26.1%34.3%1.3%
If Lose 10.5%22.1%32.4%1.7%

AFC Wimbledon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.9%11.4%17.1%
If Win <1%2.8%15.3%11.3%
If Draw <1%1.8%8.7%17.4%
If Lose <1%1.0%7.5%21.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AFC WimbledonStatOxford Utd
7Games played6
0.7Avg goals scored2.2
1.0Avg goals conceded1.2
43% / 29% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 33% / 17%
50% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AFC WimbledonStatOxford Utd
6All-time wins (22 meetings, 3 draws)13
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
0.9Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2021-12-29): Oxford Utd 3–0 AFC Wimbledon