← Home / England / League One / Matches / Oxford Utd vs Plymouth

Oxford Utd vs Plymouth Prediction & Win Probability

Oxford Utd has a 49% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
League One
Oxford Utd
7-5-1Rating 1482
Form: WDWDW
vs
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
24%
League One
Plymouth
7-2-5Rating 1446
Form: DWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Plymouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.4%9.7%30.8%<1%
If Win 6.5%14.8%37.5%<1%
If Draw 4.1%10.3%30.0%<1%
If Lose 2.8%6.4%26.6%1.0%

Oxford Utd

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 17.3%32.8%40.8%<1%
If Win 21.7%39.6%40.3%<1%
If Draw 15.6%29.4%40.7%<1%
If Lose 10.9%23.2%40.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Oxford UtdStatPlymouth
13Games played14
1.7Avg goals scored1.5
0.8Avg goals conceded1.4
54% / 38% / 8%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 14% / 36%
57% Home win % / Away win % 57%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Oxford UtdStatPlymouth
11All-time wins (22 meetings, 4 draws)7
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-01-14): Plymouth 1–1 Oxford Utd