Home / England / League Two / Matches / Southampton vs Derby
Final Score: Southampton 2–1 Derby
League Two
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Southampton vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 55% chance to win.

18-12-10 · Rating 1738
Form: WWWWD
VS
18-9-14 · Rating 1620
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
55%
20%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SouthamptonStatDerby
40Games played41
1.7Avg goals scored1.5
1.2Avg goals conceded1.2
45% / 30% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 22% / 34%
53% Home win % / Away win % 45%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SouthamptonStatDerby
1All-time wins (3 meetings, 2 draws)0
1Last 3 meetings (2 draws)0
2.0Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2025-10-04): Derby 1–1 Southampton