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← Home / England / League Two / Matches / Southampton vs Derby

League Two

Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT

Southampton vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 61% chance to win.

4-2-2 · Rating 1738

Form: LWWDD

VS

1-2-5 · Rating 1620

Form: DLLLW

Model Probability

61%

17%

Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Southampton	Stat	Derby
8	Games played	8
2.4	Avg goals scored	0.9
1.2	Avg goals conceded	1.8
50% / 25% / 25%	Win / Draw / Loss	12% / 25% / 62%
100%	Home win % / Away win %	25%

Southampton	Stat	Derby
2	All-time wins (4 meetings, 2 draws)	0
2	Last 4 meetings (2 draws)	0
2.0	Average goals	0.8

Last meeting (2026-04-11): Southampton 2–1 Derby

Recent Results

Southampton

Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3

vs Bristol City

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5

Tue, Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4

Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2

Tue, Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2

Derby

Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2

Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3

Wed, Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1

Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3

Tue, Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2