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Accrington vs York City Prediction & Win Probability

Accrington has a 46% chance to win.
League Two
Tue, Jan 19, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
League Two
Accrington
4-7-3Rating 1193
Form: DWDWD
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
League Two
York City
5-5-4Rating 1179
Form: LLWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

York City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%11.6%3.8%
If Win 2.2%2.2%19.4%1.8%
If Draw <1%<1%12.6%4.1%
If Lose <1%<1%9.8%5.1%

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%14.4%4.1%
If Win 1.5%1.5%16.6%2.5%
If Draw <1%<1%12.1%4.4%
If Lose <1%<1%8.3%5.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AccringtonStatYork City
14Games played14
1.6Avg goals scored1.7
1.2Avg goals conceded1.5
29% / 50% / 21%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 36% / 29%
43% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AccringtonStatYork City
2All-time wins (9 meetings, 5 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.6Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-10-20): York City 1–1 Accrington