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League Two
Sat, Feb 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Exeter vs York City Prediction & Win Probability

Exeter has a 53% chance to win.

1-3-3 · Rating 1228
Form: DLDDL
VS
3-2-2 · Rating 1167
Form: LWDLW
Model Probability
53%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

York City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.4%1.4%10.1%8.9%
If Win 2.8%2.8%15.9%5.1%
If Draw 1.2%1.2%10.5%8.5%
If Lose <1%<1%8.2%10.2%

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.3%4.3%18.1%3.6%
If Win 3.6%3.6%22.7%2.9%
If Draw 2.5%2.5%17.7%4.8%
If Lose 2.3%2.3%13.0%6.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ExeterStatYork City
7Games played7
0.6Avg goals scored1.9
0.7Avg goals conceded1.4
14% / 43% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 29% / 29%
25% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ExeterStatYork City
2All-time wins (9 meetings, 4 draws)3
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-08-29): York City 2–1 Exeter