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League Two
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Accrington vs Swindon Prediction & Win Probability

Accrington has a 42% chance to win.

1-3-3 · Rating 1168
Form: DLWDL
VS
3-1-3 · Rating 1186
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
42%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.3%2.3%14.7%6.8%
If Win 3.9%3.9%16.3%4.1%
If Draw 2.3%2.3%13.9%6.0%
If Lose 1.5%1.5%11.5%8.5%

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.4%19.3%
If Win <1%<1%5.7%15.5%
If Draw <1%<1%4.5%20.7%
If Lose <1%<1%3.5%21.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AccringtonStatSwindon
7Games played7
1.4Avg goals scored1.1
1.9Avg goals conceded1.6
14% / 43% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 14% / 43%
25% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AccringtonStatSwindon
5All-time wins (12 meetings, 3 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.7Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-04-18): Swindon 2–2 Accrington