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Cheltenham vs Accrington Prediction & Win Probability

Cheltenham has a 43% chance to win.
League Two
Tue, Apr 27, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
League Two
Cheltenham
6-3-5Rating 1181
Form: LWWLL
vs
Model Probability
43%
Draw 28%
30%
League Two
Accrington
4-7-3Rating 1193
Form: DWDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%13.9%4.5%
If Win 1.3%1.3%18.1%2.1%
If Draw <1%<1%12.7%4.0%
If Lose <1%<1%10.3%5.1%

Cheltenham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.1%1.1%14.0%2.9%
If Win 1.8%1.8%17.5%2.0%
If Draw <1%<1%12.1%3.2%
If Lose <1%<1%10.6%4.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CheltenhamStatAccrington
14Games played14
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
43% / 21% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 50% / 21%
71% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CheltenhamStatAccrington
8All-time wins (24 meetings, 9 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-10-03): Accrington 2–0 Cheltenham