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League Two
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Accrington vs Fleetwood Prediction & Win Probability

Accrington has a 37% chance to win.

1-3-3 · Rating 1168
Form: DLWDL
VS
2-4-1 · Rating 1222
Form: LDWDD
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fleetwood

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 7.7%7.7%25.2%1.8%
If Win 9.1%9.1%29.3%1.1%
If Draw 7.4%7.4%24.5%2.2%
If Lose 5.5%5.5%22.1%2.5%

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.2%19.5%
If Win <1%<1%6.1%14.2%
If Draw <1%<1%4.4%21.9%
If Lose <1%<1%3.3%21.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AccringtonStatFleetwood
7Games played7
1.4Avg goals scored1.1
1.9Avg goals conceded1.0
14% / 43% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 57% / 14%
25% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AccringtonStatFleetwood
5All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)9
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.3Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Accrington 1–2 Fleetwood