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Newport vs Port Vale Prediction & Win Probability

Newport has a 40% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League Two
Newport
4-6-4Rating 1203
Form: WLDDW
vs
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
32%
League Two
Port Vale
4-3-5Rating 1236
Form: WLDWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Port Vale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.4%3.4%24.8%2.0%
If Win 4.9%4.9%29.4%1.2%
If Draw 3.3%3.3%25.1%1.9%
If Lose 2.0%2.0%22.1%2.3%

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.1%1.1%13.8%3.8%
If Win 1.5%1.5%16.7%2.3%
If Draw 1.0%1.0%11.6%4.0%
If Lose <1%<1%11.1%5.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewportStatPort Vale
14Games played12
1.4Avg goals scored0.8
1.2Avg goals conceded1.2
29% / 43% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 25% / 42%
57% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewportStatPort Vale
5All-time wins (11 meetings, 3 draws)3
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.2Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2025-01-18): Port Vale 3–2 Newport