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Newport vs Gillingham Prediction & Win Probability

Newport has a 47% chance to win.
League Two
Tue, Apr 27, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
League Two
Newport
4-6-4Rating 1203
Form: WLDDW
vs
Model Probability
47%
Draw 27%
26%
League Two
Gillingham
5-5-4Rating 1182
Form: WLDLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Gillingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%11.9%3.8%
If Win 1.4%1.4%16.3%2.9%
If Draw <1%<1%12.2%3.9%
If Lose <1%<1%8.8%4.9%

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%1.3%14.8%3.3%
If Win 1.7%1.7%16.8%2.4%
If Draw 1.1%1.1%11.9%4.2%
If Lose <1%<1%9.4%6.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewportStatGillingham
14Games played14
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
29% / 43% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 36% / 29%
57% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewportStatGillingham
6All-time wins (9 meetings, 1 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.7Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-10-03): Gillingham 0–0 Newport