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League Two
Tue, Apr 27, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST

Newport vs Gillingham Prediction & Win Probability

Newport has a 44% chance to win.

1-3-3 · Rating 1188
Form: DDLLD
VS
3-3-1 · Rating 1193
Form: WWWDD
Model Probability
44%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Gillingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.0%4.0%19.5%3.8%
If Win 6.0%6.0%24.7%1.6%
If Draw 3.9%3.9%19.2%3.3%
If Lose 3.3%3.3%17.9%4.6%

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%1.3%8.8%11.3%
If Win 1.3%1.3%10.2%9.8%
If Draw 1.0%1.0%7.0%11.5%
If Lose <1%<1%6.6%15.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewportStatGillingham
7Games played7
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.6Avg goals conceded0.9
14% / 43% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 43% / 14%
33% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewportStatGillingham
6All-time wins (8 meetings, 0 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Gillingham 3–2 Newport