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Gillingham vs York City Prediction & Win Probability

Gillingham has a 45% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League Two
Gillingham
5-5-4Rating 1182
Form: WLDLW
vs
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
League Two
York City
5-5-4Rating 1179
Form: LLWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

York City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.4%1.4%12.4%4.4%
If Win 1.5%1.5%16.3%2.5%
If Draw <1%<1%12.1%3.6%
If Lose <1%<1%10.1%5.5%

Gillingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%11.6%4.2%
If Win 1.2%1.2%15.2%2.6%
If Draw <1%<1%10.2%4.3%
If Lose <1%<1%8.6%6.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

GillinghamStatYork City
14Games played14
1.4Avg goals scored1.7
1.4Avg goals conceded1.5
36% / 36% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 36% / 29%
29% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
GillinghamStatYork City
0All-time wins (3 meetings, 2 draws)1
0Last 3 meetings (2 draws)1
0.3Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-09-26): York City 3–0 Gillingham