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Grimsby vs Newport Prediction & Win Probability

Grimsby has a 43% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League Two
Grimsby
5-5-4Rating 1195
Form: WWDLL
vs
Model Probability
43%
Draw 27%
29%
League Two
Newport
4-6-4Rating 1203
Form: WLDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.5%1.5%14.5%3.6%
If Win 1.5%1.5%18.6%2.1%
If Draw <1%<1%13.4%4.3%
If Lose <1%<1%11.2%4.5%

Grimsby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%1.3%15.8%2.8%
If Win 2.2%2.2%18.9%1.6%
If Draw 1.2%1.2%14.6%3.3%
If Lose <1%<1%12.1%3.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

GrimsbyStatNewport
14Games played14
1.7Avg goals scored1.4
1.3Avg goals conceded1.2
36% / 36% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 43% / 29%
57% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
GrimsbyStatNewport
7All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.0Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-09-26): Newport 2–1 Grimsby