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League Two
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Grimsby vs Newport Prediction & Win Probability

Grimsby has a 50% chance to win.

3-4-0 · Rating 1226
Form: WWDDD
VS
1-3-3 · Rating 1188
Form: DDLLD
Model Probability
50%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%8.1%12.2%
If Win 1.2%1.2%10.7%7.8%
If Draw <1%<1%8.4%12.3%
If Lose <1%<1%6.5%13.9%

Grimsby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 11.5%11.5%32.5%1.2%
If Win 14.9%14.9%35.1%<1%
If Draw 11.4%11.4%31.9%1.4%
If Lose 10.0%10.0%30.2%1.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

GrimsbyStatNewport
7Games played7
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.9Avg goals conceded1.6
43% / 57% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 43% / 43%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
GrimsbyStatNewport
7All-time wins (17 meetings, 5 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.0Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2026-02-07): Newport 0–0 Grimsby