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Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 43% chance to win.
Final Score: Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City
Sun, Apr 12, 2026 · 4:30 PM BST
Premier League
Chelsea
13-9-9Rating 1913
Form: LLWLD
0 – 3
Model Probability
30%
Draw 28%
43%
Premier League
Manchester City
18-7-5Rating 2031
Form: DDWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatManchester City
31Games played30
1.7Avg goals scored2.0
1.2Avg goals conceded0.9
42% / 29% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 23% / 17%
40% Home win % / Away win % 47%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatManchester City
9All-time wins (32 meetings, 6 draws)17
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-01-04): Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea