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← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Burnley vs Manchester City

Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 72% chance to win.
Final Score: Burnley 0–1 Manchester City
Wed, Apr 22, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
Premier League
Burnley
4-8-21Rating 1656
Form: LLLDL
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0 – 1
Model Probability
11%
Draw 17%
72%
Premier League
Manchester City
20-7-5Rating 2031
Form: WWDDW
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BurnleyStatManchester City
33Games played32
1.0Avg goals scored2.0
2.0Avg goals conceded0.9
12% / 24% / 64%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 22% / 16%
12% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
BurnleyStatManchester City
1All-time wins (18 meetings, 2 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.6Average goals2.9
Last meeting (2025-09-27): Manchester City 5–1 Burnley

Recent Results

Burnley

@ Nottingham
Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4
vs Brighton
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2
@ Fulham
Sat, Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
vs Bournemouth
Sat, Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Everton
Tue, Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2

Manchester City

vs Arsenal
Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
@ Chelsea
Sun, Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
@ West Ham
Sat, Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Nottingham
Wed, Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
@ Leeds
Sat, Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0