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Everton vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 54% chance to win.
Final Score: Everton 3–3 Manchester City
Mon, May 4, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
Premier League
Everton
13-8-13Rating 1901
Form: LLDWL
3 – 3
Model Probability
21%
Draw 25%
54%
Premier League
Manchester City
21-7-5Rating 2031
Form: WWWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

EvertonStatManchester City
34Games played33
1.2Avg goals scored2.0
1.2Avg goals conceded0.9
38% / 24% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss64% / 21% / 15%
35% Home win % / Away win % 53%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
EvertonStatManchester City
7All-time wins (33 meetings, 7 draws)19
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.9Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2025-10-18): Manchester City 2–0 Everton