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← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Manchester City vs Aston Villa
Final Score: Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa
Premier League
Sun, May 24, 2026 · 4:00 PM BST

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 59% chance to win.

Manchester City
23-9-5 · Rating 2063
Form: DWWDW
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VS
Aston Villa
18-8-11 · Rating 1944
Form: WDLLW
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Model Probability
59%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatAston Villa
37Games played37
2.1Avg goals scored1.5
0.9Avg goals conceded1.3
62% / 24% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss49% / 22% / 30%
78% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Manchester CityStatAston Villa
19All-time wins (26 meetings, 2 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
2.4Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2025-10-26): Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City

Recent Results

Manchester City

@ Bournemouth
Tue, May 19, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Crystal Palace
Wed, May 13, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
vs Brentford
Sat, May 9, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
@ Everton
Mon, May 4, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 6
3–3
@ Burnley
Wed, Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0

Aston Villa

vs Liverpool
Fri, May 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4–2
@ Burnley
Sun, May 10, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
vs Tottenham
Sun, May 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ Fulham
Sat, Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
vs Sunderland
Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4–3