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Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

PSG vs Paris FC Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 72% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1773
Form: WDWWD
Model Probability
72%
11%
Draw 17%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paris FC

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.3%16.0%9.5%2.9%<1%
If Win 5.5%25.7%11.7%1.0%<1%
If Draw 2.2%16.9%11.0%1.6%<1%
If Lose 1.1%12.9%9.5%2.4%<1%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 61.2%91.0%4.6%<1%<1%
If Win 67.5%93.9%3.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 54.1%87.8%5.3%<1%<1%
If Lose 47.7%84.5%6.4%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatParis FC
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
1.4Avg goals conceded0.6
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatParis FC
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)1
1Last 2 meetings (0 draws)1
1.5Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-05-17): Paris FC 2–1 PSG