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PSG vs Auxerre Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 85% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
PSG
7-2-1Rating 2043
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
85%
Draw 10%
5%
Ligue 1
Auxerre
3-1-6Rating 1698
Form: LLDWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%29.6%7.6%
If Win <1%<1%<1%18.8%3.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%25.2%5.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%30.7%8.3%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 96.1%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 96.3%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 93.9%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 92.1%99.3%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatAuxerre
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored1.3
1.0Avg goals conceded2.4
70% / 20% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 10% / 60%
75% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatAuxerre
6All-time wins (11 meetings, 3 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.8Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-01-23): Auxerre 0–1 PSG