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Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Monaco vs PSG Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 47% chance to win.

4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
Model Probability
27%
47%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 60.8%90.1%4.6%<1%<1%
If Win 70.3%94.4%2.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 61.5%91.0%4.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 49.8%87.5%5.4%<1%<1%

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 17.6%60.2%10.9%<1%<1%
If Win 25.0%69.4%11.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 16.0%58.1%12.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 10.4%50.8%13.4%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonacoStatPSG
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
0.6Avg goals conceded1.4
80% / 20% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonacoStatPSG
10All-time wins (30 meetings, 10 draws)10
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-09-04): PSG 1–2 Monaco