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Monaco vs PSG Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 58% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 4:15 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Monaco
4-4-2Rating 1828
Form: DLDLD
vs
Model Probability
19%
Draw 23%
58%
Ligue 1
PSG
7-2-1Rating 2043
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 95.9%99.6%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 97.7%100.0%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 95.1%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 93.5%99.5%<1%<1%<1%

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%31.3%13.4%<1%<1%
If Win 1.0%44.9%14.0%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%33.2%13.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%26.0%12.8%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonacoStatPSG
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored2.2
1.1Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 20% / 10%
50% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonacoStatPSG
10All-time wins (30 meetings, 10 draws)10
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-09-04): PSG 1–2 Monaco