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PSG vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 76% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Feb 7, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
PSG
7-2-1Rating 2043
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
76%
Draw 15%
9%
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%28.8%12.1%<1%<1%
If Win 1.6%42.3%14.4%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%31.0%13.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%25.9%12.4%<1%<1%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 95.8%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 97.0%100.0%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 94.8%99.6%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 92.6%99.2%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatMarseille
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored2.2
1.0Avg goals conceded1.4
70% / 20% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 0% / 40%
75% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatMarseille
24All-time wins (33 meetings, 4 draws)5
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
2.1Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-09-20): Marseille 1–2 PSG