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Ligue 1
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Marseille vs Rennes Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 39% chance to win.

1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1801
Form: LWWWD
Model Probability
39%
33%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Rennes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 3.0%22.3%11.6%1.3%<1%
If Win 4.7%28.9%14.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 2.4%22.7%12.0%1.0%<1%
If Lose 1.9%17.4%10.2%2.1%<1%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.7%3.9%9.7%4.7%
If Win <1%4.4%4.1%8.0%2.6%
If Draw <1%3.2%2.4%11.9%4.6%
If Lose <1%1.7%2.2%13.1%5.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatRennes
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.6Avg goals conceded1.8
20% / 0% / 80%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatRennes
16All-time wins (34 meetings, 8 draws)10
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-11): Rennes 1–0 Marseille