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Lille vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 46% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Lille
6-3-1Rating 1808
Form: WWDDW
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%28.0%13.0%<1%<1%
If Win <1%39.2%13.3%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%28.5%13.7%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%21.8%11.2%<1%<1%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%43.1%13.6%<1%<1%
If Win 2.1%53.5%12.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%40.3%14.3%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%33.4%13.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatMarseille
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored2.2
0.7Avg goals conceded1.4
60% / 30% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 0% / 40%
60% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatMarseille
12All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)12
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Marseille 1–2 Lille