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Ligue 1
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Lille vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 51% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
51%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.5%2.8%11.6%4.1%
If Win <1%5.2%5.2%6.8%2.5%
If Draw <1%3.7%3.8%10.4%4.0%
If Lose <1%2.2%2.4%12.2%4.6%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 5.2%29.1%12.5%<1%<1%
If Win 5.7%32.1%13.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.8%26.0%12.2%1.0%<1%
If Lose 2.6%21.3%11.0%1.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatMarseille
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.6
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatMarseille
12All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)12
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Marseille 1–2 Lille