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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Lens vs Nice Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 65% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1695
Form: WLDLD
Model Probability
65%
15%
Draw 20%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%27.1%15.9%
If Win <1%<1%1.2%20.4%9.3%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.0%14.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%26.2%16.7%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.3%17.7%10.6%2.2%<1%
If Win 2.3%21.9%10.3%1.2%<1%
If Draw 1.9%15.2%10.5%1.8%<1%
If Lose 1.3%12.4%8.5%3.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatNice
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored0.6
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatNice
4All-time wins (17 meetings, 5 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.8Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-05-02): Nice 1–1 Lens