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← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Union Berlin vs Mainz
Final Score: Union Berlin 2–2 Mainz
Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 10, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Union Berlin vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Union Berlin has a 45% chance to win.

Union Berlin
6-3-6 · Rating 1691
Form: WWLLW
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VS
Mainz
1-5-9 · Rating 1768
Form: DDLLD
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Model Probability
45%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Union BerlinStatMainz
15Games played15
1.3Avg goals scored0.9
1.5Avg goals conceded1.7
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss7% / 33% / 60%
38% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Union BerlinStatMainz
7All-time wins (12 meetings, 4 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.9Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2025-01-19): Union Berlin 2–1 Mainz

Recent Results

Union Berlin

@ FC Koln
Sat, Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs RB Leipzig
Fri, Dec 12, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3–1
@ Wolfsburg
Sat, Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
vs Heidenheim
Sat, Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ St. Pauli
Sun, Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0

Mainz

vs St. Pauli
Sun, Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Bayern Munich
Sun, Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
vs B. Monchengladbach
Fri, Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
@ Freiburg
Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0–4
vs Hoffenheim
Fri, Nov 21, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1