Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Mainz vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability
Mainz has a 37% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Freiburg
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1.6% | 48.9% | 13.1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 2.3% | 57.2% | 14.3% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 1.1% | 48.6% | 12.7% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 39.1% | 14.0% | <1% | <1% |
Mainz
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 3.4% | <1% |
| If Win | <1% | 17.9% | 10.9% | 1.8% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 3.7% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Mainz | Stat | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games played | 4 |
| 2.5 | Avg goals scored | 3.0 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 50% / 25% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 75% / 25% / 0% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Mainz | Stat | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | All-time wins (31 meetings, 10 draws) | 10 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (3 draws) | 2 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 1.2 |
Recent Results
Mainz
@ B. Monchengladbach
Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4–3
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Hamburger SV
Sun, Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5–0
vs Paderborn
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Heidenheim
Sat, May 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
Freiburg
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
vs B. Monchengladbach
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5–0
@ Paderborn
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Werder Bremen
Sun, Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs RB Leipzig
Sat, May 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1