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Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Mainz vs FC Koln Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 57% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
VS
1-1-2 · Rating 1679
Form: LDLWL
Model Probability
57%
19%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

FC Koln

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.0%26.0%14.2%
If Win <1%1.7%1.6%18.6%7.7%
If Draw <1%<1%1.0%25.6%11.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%30.0%15.6%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%12.2%8.9%4.0%<1%
If Win <1%16.6%10.0%2.7%<1%
If Draw <1%11.0%8.3%4.7%<1%
If Lose <1%8.1%6.7%7.2%1.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatFC Koln
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored1.5
1.5Avg goals conceded2.2
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 25% / 50%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatFC Koln
8All-time wins (25 meetings, 10 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-01-17): FC Koln 2–1 Mainz