Dortmund vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability
Dortmund has a 70% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Jan 8, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT
Model Prediction Through Season
Mainz
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 11.2% | 2.3% |
| If Win | <1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 10.4% | 1.7% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 13.1% | 2.5% |
Dortmund
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12.2% | 92.1% | 4.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 13.5% | 94.3% | 3.3% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 8.8% | 89.2% | 5.5% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 5.6% | 85.8% | 7.4% | <1% | <1% |
| Dortmund | Stat | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games played | 9 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals scored | 2.0 |
| 0.8 | Avg goals conceded | 2.1 |
| 67% / 33% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 33% / 11% / 56% |
| 80% | Home win % / Away win % | 75% |
| Dortmund | Stat | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws) | 6 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 2 |
| 1.9 | Average goals | 1.0 |
Recent Results
Dortmund
vs Elversberg
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
@ Bayern Munich
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Union Berlin
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
vs Werder Bremen
Fri, Oct 9, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
Mainz
vs Bayern Munich
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ Elversberg
Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4
vs Werder Bremen
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2–3
@ Schalke
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3–4