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Bundesliga
Tue, Jan 12, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT

FC Koln vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 61% chance to win.

1-1-2 · Rating 1679
Form: LDLWL
VS
4-0-0 · Rating 1916
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
17%
61%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 16.3%91.2%3.7%<1%<1%
If Win 19.6%92.8%3.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 13.6%89.6%5.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 10.9%85.1%6.3%<1%<1%

FC Koln

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%24.0%14.1%
If Win <1%1.5%1.9%20.1%6.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%23.9%12.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%26.8%15.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FC KolnStatDortmund
4Games played4
1.5Avg goals scored2.2
2.2Avg goals conceded0.5
25% / 25% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FC KolnStatDortmund
4All-time wins (25 meetings, 6 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.0Average goals2.4
Last meeting (2026-03-07): FC Koln 1–2 Dortmund