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FC Koln vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 60% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Tue, Jan 12, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
FC Koln
2-3-4Rating 1686
Form: LDDLW
vs
Model Probability
17%
Draw 23%
60%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.2%92.9%3.8%<1%<1%
If Win 14.2%94.8%3.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 8.7%90.6%5.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 6.2%87.3%6.1%<1%<1%

FC Koln

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%28.2%9.2%
If Win <1%<1%<1%20.0%3.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.4%7.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.6%10.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FC KolnStatDortmund
9Games played9
1.1Avg goals scored1.8
1.6Avg goals conceded0.8
22% / 33% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 33% / 0%
40% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FC KolnStatDortmund
4All-time wins (25 meetings, 6 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.0Average goals2.4
Last meeting (2026-03-07): FC Koln 1–2 Dortmund