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Bundesliga
Tue, Jan 12, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT

Mainz vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 47% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
VS
1-0-3 · Rating 1751
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
47%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.0%4.4%10.3%2.3%
If Win <1%8.6%7.1%6.9%1.4%
If Draw <1%4.1%3.8%10.4%2.8%
If Lose <1%3.1%3.2%13.4%4.0%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%13.9%9.2%3.5%<1%
If Win <1%15.6%10.7%3.0%<1%
If Draw <1%11.3%8.7%3.7%<1%
If Lose <1%8.1%5.9%5.3%1.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatHoffenheim
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored1.8
1.5Avg goals conceded2.5
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 0% / 75%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatHoffenheim
15All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.8Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-04-04): Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz