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Mainz vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 40% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Tue, Jan 12, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL
vs
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
33%
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
4-0-5Rating 1764
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.6%5.0%4.1%<1%
If Win <1%8.1%7.1%1.7%<1%
If Draw <1%4.6%5.0%3.2%<1%
If Lose <1%3.3%4.2%5.6%<1%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.4%2.4%12.3%1.9%
If Win <1%2.4%2.9%7.4%<1%
If Draw <1%<1%1.7%12.2%2.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%16.5%3.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatHoffenheim
9Games played9
2.0Avg goals scored1.8
2.1Avg goals conceded1.9
33% / 11% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 0% / 56%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatHoffenheim
15All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.8Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-04-04): Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz