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Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

RB Leipzig vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 51% chance to win.

2-0-2 · Rating 1813
Form: LWLWL
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
51%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%12.8%9.4%3.9%<1%
If Win <1%20.2%12.4%2.0%<1%
If Draw <1%14.4%8.4%3.1%<1%
If Lose <1%8.5%6.7%4.9%1.3%

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%26.0%12.8%1.1%<1%
If Win <1%32.6%15.1%1.0%<1%
If Draw <1%21.8%12.7%1.5%<1%
If Lose <1%16.9%10.6%2.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RB LeipzigStatMainz
4Games played4
2.2Avg goals scored2.5
1.2Avg goals conceded1.5
50% / 0% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
100% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RB LeipzigStatMainz
9All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
2.1Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-31): RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz