← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Mainz vs Union Berlin

Mainz vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 51% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL
vs
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
24%
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-4Rating 1685
Form: LDDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%29.9%12.9%
If Win <1%<1%<1%22.2%5.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%30.8%11.1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%34.1%17.7%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.8%2.2%10.4%1.9%
If Win <1%2.7%3.2%7.3%1.0%
If Draw <1%1.0%1.7%12.4%2.5%
If Lose <1%<1%1.0%18.6%3.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatUnion Berlin
9Games played9
2.0Avg goals scored0.8
2.1Avg goals conceded2.3
33% / 11% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss11% / 44% / 44%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatUnion Berlin
1All-time wins (14 meetings, 5 draws)8
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.0Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2026-05-10): Mainz 1–3 Union Berlin