Bundesliga
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Mainz vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability
Mainz has a 55% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 24%
Model Prediction Through Season
Union Berlin
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | 27.5% | 18.5% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 23.0% | 8.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | <1% | 25.1% | 16.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | 27.9% | 22.2% |
Mainz
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 4.0% | <1% |
| If Win | <1% | 16.2% | 9.5% | 2.2% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Mainz | Stat | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games played | 4 |
| 2.5 | Avg goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 4.2 |
| 50% / 25% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 0% / 25% / 75% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Mainz | Stat | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | All-time wins (14 meetings, 5 draws) | 8 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (3 draws) | 2 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 2.0 |
Recent Results
Mainz
@ B. Monchengladbach
Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4–3
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Hamburger SV
Sun, Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5–0
vs Paderborn
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Heidenheim
Sat, May 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
Union Berlin
@ Bayern Munich
Fri, Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0–7
vs Schalke
Fri, Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0–4
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 6
3–3
vs Augsburg
Sat, May 16, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4–0