Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Win Probability
Union Berlin has a 44% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
vs
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
29%
Model Prediction Through Season
Hamburger SV
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 1.6% | 15.2% | 3.3% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 1.3% | 15.0% | 2.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20.4% | 5.5% |
Union Berlin
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | 29.2% | 13.5% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | <1% | 25.0% | 8.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | <1% | 33.5% | 13.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | 38.1% | 18.8% |
| Union Berlin | Stat | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games played | 9 |
| 0.8 | Avg goals scored | 1.1 |
| 2.3 | Avg goals conceded | 2.2 |
| 11% / 44% / 44% | Win / Draw / Loss | 44% / 0% / 56% |
| 20% | Home win % / Away win % | 20% |
| Union Berlin | Stat | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws) | 1 |
| 0 | Last 2 meetings (1 draws) | 1 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.5 |
Recent Results
Hamburger SV
vs B. Monchengladbach
Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3–1
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Paderborn
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
vs Stuttgart
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Hoffenheim
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3–2