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Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 77% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
9%
Draw 15%
77%
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
6-3-0Rating 2054
Form: WDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 85.1%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 86.4%100.0%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 80.6%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 76.0%99.3%<1%<1%<1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.7%17.1%3.1%
If Win <1%2.6%3.4%7.4%1.2%
If Draw <1%1.3%1.6%11.8%2.8%
If Lose <1%<1%1.2%15.8%4.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatBayern Munich
9Games played9
1.1Avg goals scored3.2
2.2Avg goals conceded1.0
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 33% / 0%
75% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatBayern Munich
0All-time wins (19 meetings, 4 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.4Average goals3.7
Last meeting (2026-01-31): Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern Munich