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Bundesliga
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 76% chance to win.

1-0-3 · Rating 1681
Form: WLLLD
VS
3-1-0 · Rating 2045
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
9%
76%
Draw 15%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 79.3%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 80.7%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 72.4%99.5%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 69.2%98.7%<1%<1%<1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.0%24.2%15.0%
If Win <1%2.1%2.3%18.4%7.0%
If Draw <1%<1%1.1%24.5%11.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%27.3%14.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatBayern Munich
4Games played4
0.5Avg goals scored3.5
3.2Avg goals conceded0.5
25% / 0% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 25% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatBayern Munich
0All-time wins (19 meetings, 4 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.4Average goals3.7
Last meeting (2026-01-31): Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern Munich