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Hamburger SV vs Schalke Prediction & Win Probability

Hamburger SV has a 55% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Dec 11, 2026 · 7:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
55%
Draw 24%
20%
Bundesliga
Schalke
1-3-5Rating 1609
Form: LLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Schalke

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%34.7%44.6%
If Win <1%<1%<1%35.9%28.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%36.0%42.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.4%51.3%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.1%1.2%14.6%3.1%
If Win <1%1.3%1.9%11.3%1.2%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%18.0%3.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%22.5%8.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatSchalke
9Games played9
1.1Avg goals scored0.6
2.2Avg goals conceded1.2
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss11% / 33% / 56%
75% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatSchalke
6All-time wins (17 meetings, 4 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2018-04-07): Hamburger SV 3–2 Schalke