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Schalke vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 70% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sun, Dec 6, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Schalke
1-3-5Rating 1609
Form: LLDLL
vs
Model Probability
12%
Draw 18%
70%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 12.3%92.3%4.2%<1%<1%
If Win 13.3%94.1%3.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 8.9%89.9%5.3%<1%<1%
If Lose 6.5%87.4%6.3%<1%<1%

Schalke

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%35.1%42.6%
If Win <1%<1%<1%34.7%27.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%35.7%39.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%35.8%45.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SchalkeStatDortmund
9Games played9
0.6Avg goals scored1.8
1.2Avg goals conceded0.8
11% / 33% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 33% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SchalkeStatDortmund
6All-time wins (25 meetings, 8 draws)11
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.2Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2023-03-11): Schalke 2–2 Dortmund