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Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 42% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Freiburg
6-1-2Rating 1824
Form: WWLLW
vs
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
30%
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
6-0-3Rating 1838
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.3%54.8%14.6%<1%<1%
If Win 1.5%68.1%13.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.0%54.9%15.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%42.5%19.3%<1%<1%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.0%50.3%15.8%<1%<1%
If Win 1.1%62.5%14.3%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%48.1%17.2%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%37.6%17.5%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatRB Leipzig
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored3.0
1.1Avg goals conceded1.4
67% / 11% / 22%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 0% / 33%
80% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatRB Leipzig
4All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)12
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.1Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-05-16): Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig