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Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Stuttgart vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Stuttgart has a 52% chance to win.

1-0-3 · Rating 1820
Form: LLWLD
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
52%
23%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%13.9%8.7%4.3%<1%
If Win <1%20.7%10.8%1.6%<1%
If Draw <1%13.9%9.2%3.3%<1%
If Lose <1%9.3%7.0%4.4%<1%

Stuttgart

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%23.7%11.6%2.3%<1%
If Win <1%28.3%13.4%1.3%<1%
If Draw <1%18.2%10.1%2.4%<1%
If Lose <1%15.2%10.5%3.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StuttgartStatMainz
4Games played4
1.5Avg goals scored2.5
2.2Avg goals conceded1.5
25% / 0% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StuttgartStatMainz
11All-time wins (29 meetings, 8 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-03-07): Mainz 2–2 Stuttgart