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Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Paderborn vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Paderborn has a 38% chance to win.

1-1-2 · Rating 1721
Form: WLLDD
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
38%
34%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%13.2%10.0%3.3%<1%
If Win <1%18.0%11.2%1.5%<1%
If Draw <1%12.4%7.6%4.2%<1%
If Lose <1%9.9%7.3%5.3%1.1%

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.9%2.7%13.6%5.0%
If Win <1%5.1%4.9%10.3%2.8%
If Draw <1%2.7%2.5%14.7%5.2%
If Lose <1%1.8%2.3%17.1%6.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PaderbornStatMainz
4Games played4
0.8Avg goals scored2.5
1.2Avg goals conceded1.5
25% / 25% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PaderbornStatMainz
0All-time wins (5 meetings, 2 draws)3
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.6Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-08-29): Mainz 0–0 Paderborn